2026-02-09

This morning I was thinking about the Cassanda Complex and general mentality. Over the last few years, recent popular podcasts (which I'll just not name) have repopularized the term. Often the speakers use the term as cathartic relief, to express some kind of frustration they have over a thought that they feel mocked, attacked, or persecuted for instead of rewarded for. For a long time, I thought, "yeah, that sucks...," but I realized even this is an acceptance of self-pity. Just reframe the situation, and you have a huge win on your hands. You want to be right and early. That is where you make outsized returns. So if you know things should be done differently, do so, even if it imposes a cost--not an immediate reward--in the short term, because when the long term pans out and the world catches up, you'll be many steps ahead and ready to launch that book, deploy that technology, release that game, mentor those people, etc. Even this is a grow-the-pie winning opportunity.